Climate Change Adaptation

Global warming is already altering the world's climate. Its impacts are felt in all sectors and regions of society, through changes in mean temperature and precipitation as well as through changes in the frequency and intensity of climate extremes. Adverse impacts of climate change will negatively affect progress toward development in a number of key areas including agriculture and food security, water resources, coastal zones, public health, climate-related disaster risk management and natural resources management. National planning must take these impacts into account.

The UNDP’s mission for supporting adaptation to climate change is: to assist developing countries to change existing policies and practices or to adopt new policies and practices to secure the Millennium Development Goals in the face of climate change and its associated impacts.

Climate Change Adaptation in Europe and the CIS

Vulnerability to climate change in Eastern Europe and CIS differs among sub-regions. Long-term trends and climate change are already having an impact on development in the region. The impact of temperature rise is seen through glacier retreat, increased risks in flooding, and droughts. Other issues such as sea-level rise is becoming a growing problem in the low lying coasts of the Adriatic, Black, and Caspian Seas and threatening local settlements, farmlands, and strategic infrastructure such as ports. Future risks are much greater in the low and low-middle income countries that have lesser resources and capacities to cope with these risks.

The warming in the region has been the largest over northwestern Russia and the southern belt of the region covering most parts of the Balkans, Caucasus, and Central Asia. Central Asia’s semi-arid and arid climate will likely experience further aridation translating into problems of food production and water resource availability, if adaptation does not take place. Thus, the issues of water and disasters, coastal development, agriculture and food security represent the core set of issues to be brought into the mainstay of UNDP’s adaptation programming. Additionally, the three sub regions noted above represent the main hotspots in relation to these issues and will therefore fall under the main focus for the adaptation portfolio development in the region that according to UNFCCC guidance are the most vulnerable to climate change impacts due to high poverty levels and poor response capacities (Annex 2). These sub-regions also include most of the non-Annex 1 countries of the region that according to the UNFCCC guidance are the most vulnerable to climate change impacts due to high poverty levels and poor response capacities (Annex 1). This, a combination of vulnerability, future risk, and existing climate change trends weigh into the strategic decision about regional focus for adaptation programming.

Vulnerability to climate change in ECIS differs among sub-regions. It is particularly high in southern and eastern parts of the region, particularly in Central Asia. This has important equity implications since the current and future risks are much greater in the low and low-middle income countries that have lesser resources and capacities to cope with these risks. Table below shows the countries that are at highest risk to climate change, particularly climate-related disasters based on the following formula - Risk = Hazard * Vulnerability[1]. The first tier of high risk countries represents the most vulnerable group (low income countries) in the region that should feature as priority countries for adaptation actions.

 

 

Climate Change Adaptation Projects 

(this will come on the side)

 

Armenia Kyrgyzstan
Azerbaijan Moldova
FYR Macedonia Turkmenistan
Georgia Uzbekistan
Kazakhstan    

 

 

 Contacts:

Keti Chachibaia: GEF Regional technical Specialist on Capacity Development and Adaptation    Keti.Chachibaia@undp.org


 

[1] Risk is defined as historic mortality to floods, droughts and cyclones (1980-2000), source: Dilley et al, 2005; Hazard – likelihood of future climate extremes (floods, droughts cyclone), source: IPCC AR4, 2007; and Vunerability – Resilience Indicator Model (VRIM) scores based on socio-economic sensitivity (-) and capacity (+) to withstand the impact, 2000 data; source: Brenkert &Malone. The main limitation of these indicators is that it is based on historic mortality data that excludes economic damages and displaced people, important risks in many regions, including ECIS.