Predicting the future is a thankless task, especially in times of global turmoil. But the more uncertain the future, the greater the desire to foresee it.
It’s human nature to want to plan the future because a plan provides a feeling of security, and most importantly, gives direction and focus to decisions and specific steps to take.
It helps to distribute forces and resources and make the best use of them. However, is there such a thing as a perfect plan? Probably not.
But what is important is the process itself – preparing alternative projections and strategies to view the same problems from different perspectives and find the optimum ways of dealing with challenges. This can help encourage broad policy dialogue, secure national ownership and mobilize resources.
The Center for Economic Research in Uzbekistan is preparing a publication called “Looking beyond the horizon: concepts and experiences in formulating a national vision.”
It attempts to offer decision-makers and other partners a review of theoretical work related to long-term strategic planning and summarizes long-term development strategies in 26 countries, which enjoyed significant development progress.
The review considers all stages of formulation of long-term strategies – defining key issues, monitoring and evaluation, and implementation of development programmes. The chapters cover:
- The significance of national long-term strategies in the context of a country’s adherence to common ideas, values, and development goals
- Key components of long-term strategies of various countries and the main stages of analytical work in formulating these documents.
- The process of formulating long-term strategies, including methodological, institutional and organizational aspects, as well as roles and responsibilities
- Organization of practical implementation of long-term strategies, given that there is no universal model of development planning, but all models have general features and components
A new development paradigm is evolving in opposition to the so called “Washington consensus” as well as rising global socio-economic uncertainty. Countries have to respond, with many in the process of redefining development challenges and goals.
I hope that the publication can be used to stimulate global policy debates on what comes after the Millennium Development Goals. (See: The post-2015 development agenda explained)
We want to make the upcoming publication as useful as possible and we would like you to help us improve it.
In the coming month, we will post brief information about each chapter and invite you to improve and enrich its content.
Caption: In the meantime, have a look at the draft outline and executive summary.
Do you have any experiences from other countries you would like to share?
We look forward to your critique, comments and suggestions.